Model Predictive Control Scheduling Strategy for Hydrogen-doped Integrated Energy System Considering Ladder Carbon Trading

JI Zhishi, ZHANG Hanqing, WANG Pei

热科学学报 ›› 2025, Vol. 34 ›› Issue (2) : 337-351.

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PDF(2346 KB)
热科学学报 ›› 2025, Vol. 34 ›› Issue (2) : 337-351. DOI: 10.1007/s11630-024-2075-0  CSTR: 32141.14.JTS-024-2075-0
工程热力学

Model Predictive Control Scheduling Strategy for Hydrogen-doped Integrated Energy System Considering Ladder Carbon Trading

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Model Predictive Control Scheduling Strategy for Hydrogen-doped Integrated Energy System Considering Ladder Carbon Trading

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摘要

为实现含氢综合能源系统的低碳经济运行,平抑新能源出力波动性对系统影响,重点研究了掺氢燃气轮机与电解槽协同的运行模式。建立了储氢蓄热混合储能方案和电-氢-冷-热转换的综合能源系统优化调度模型,提出了一种基于深度学习预测和反馈的模型预测控制策略,并用误差惩罚系数证明了该策略的有效性和优越性。此外,氢能交易和阶梯碳交易的引入可以有效地指导多个典型场景下含氢综合能源系统的低碳经济运行,敏感性分析表明,掺氢比和阶梯碳基价是平衡系统运行成本和碳排放的重要因素。

Abstract

To achieve low-carbon economic operation of hydrogen-doped integrated energy systems while mitigating the stochastic impact of new energy outputs on the system, the coordinated operation mode of hydrogen-doped gas turbines and electrolyzers is focused on, as well as a hybrid energy storage scheme involving both hydrogen and heat storage and an optimized scheduling model for integrated energy systems encompassing electricity-hydrogen-heat-cooling conversions is established. A model predictive control strategy based on deep learning prediction and feedback is proposed, and the effectiveness and superiority of the proposed strategy are demonstrated using error penalty coefficients. Moreover, the introduction of hydrogen energy exchange and ladder carbon trading is shown to effectively guide the low-carbon economic operation of hydrogen-doped integrated energy systems across multiple typical scenarios. A sensitivity analysis is conducted based on this framework, revealing that increases in the hydrogen doping ratio of turbines and the carbon base price led to higher system operation costs but effectively reduce carbon emissions.

关键词

hydrogen-doped gas turbine (HGT) / integrated energy system (IES) / model predictive control (MPC) / carbon trading / scheduling strategy

Key words

hydrogen-doped gas turbine (HGT) / integrated energy system (IES) / model predictive control (MPC) / carbon trading / scheduling strategy

引用本文

导出引用
JI Zhishi , ZHANG Hanqing , WANG Pei. Model Predictive Control Scheduling Strategy for Hydrogen-doped Integrated Energy System Considering Ladder Carbon Trading[J]. 热科学学报, 2025, 34(2): 337-351 https://doi.org/10.1007/s11630-024-2075-0
JI Zhishi , ZHANG Hanqing , WANG Pei. Model Predictive Control Scheduling Strategy for Hydrogen-doped Integrated Energy System Considering Ladder Carbon Trading[J]. Journal of Thermal Science, 2025, 34(2): 337-351 https://doi.org/10.1007/s11630-024-2075-0

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基金

This research was supported by Key project of the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. U2243243) and National key research and development program (Grant No. 2022YFE0101600).

版权

Science Press, Institute of Engineering Thermophysics, CAS and Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature 2024
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